Elder Patriot – Opinion – A Zogby Analytics poll released yesterday shows President Trump well positioned to stomp whoever the Democrats put up against him in 2020.
Despite having been pounded with nearly 95% negative press for two-and-a-half years, Trump has surpassed, at least in this poll, the magic 50% hurdle that guarantees re-election.
A new Zogby Poll® of 852 likely voters nationwide in the U.S., conducted from 5/2/19-5/9/19, with a margin of sampling error of +/-3.4 percentage points, shows President Trump’s job approval rating at its best since we’ve been tracking the figure. Currently, he stands at 51% approve/48% disapprove, while 2% are not sure.
President Trump’s approval rating is higher than Obama’s at the same point in his presidency despite the fact that Obama enjoyed nearly 90% positive media coverage over the same time period.
Significantly, Trump is scoring well so well with young voters that it raises the question where will Democrats go to mine votes?
Fifty-one percent of Millennial voters aged 18-29 approve of the president’s performance. Trump only loses among Generation Z voters aged 18-24, a younger subset of the Millennial calculus, by 2-points, 49% approve/51% disapprove.
Twenty-seven percent of African Americans and 45% of Hispanics approve of the president. Both numbers amount to a death knell for Democrats who rely on these groups to cobble together a fragile coalition of “grievance voters.”
Democrats cannot lose more than 10% of the African-American vote if they hope to win national elections. The current numbers explain the Democrats irrational and unsubstantiated attacks labeling Trump a racist.
President Trump’s booming economy already has gained the approval of voters.
In a major turnaround since the early days of his presidency, a plurality (46%) of likely voters now trust President Trump more than Democratic leaders (42%) to grow the U.S. economy. Twelve percent are not sure who to trust.
As the economy keeps improving a majority of the undecideds will gravitate to the Trump camp. Aside from military engagement, the economy is the overriding issue for voters contemplating their final decision.
Ronald Reagan sealed the deal with voters when he posed this question to voters in 1980:
“Are you better off today than you were four years ago?”
Reagan defeated Jimmy Carter in a landslide, capturing 44 states and 489 electoral votes that year.
After four years of Reaganomics, President Reagan’s margin of victory was even more pronounced. He won 49 states and 525 electoral votes.